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An Independent Taiwan? January 7, 2007

Posted by David in North-East Asia.

It’s interesting the length “capitalist/democratic” states will go to justify why they do not recognize Taiwan as a sovereign country when, in reality, all it comes down to the fact that it is more beneficial for each of these states to keep things in limbo.

If China did not have a red-hot economy, if it did not offer the kind of potential it currently offers, if it wasn’t on its way to becoming a super-power: Would the West (including Japan) even think twice about not recognizing Taiwan as a sovereign, democratic/capitalist state?

The answer is, of course, NO.

However, I am a realist, and I understand our behavior and actions towards Taiwan and China. It doesn’t mean I’m happy and/or feel good about it.

Is there an opportunity for Taiwan?

In my opinion declaring independence would have been easier if it would have been done 10 years ago, but it is not too late, and recent reports from the media give hints that it may happen soon-ish.

On January 2, 2007, BBC News ran a story stating that, “A Chinese government spokesman has accused Taiwan’s president of trying to ruin ties with the mainland.

President Chen Shui-bian, whose party favors Taiwanese independence, used his New Year speech to insist that the island was not part of China.”.

Chen went on to say, “ “Taiwan’s sovereignty belongs to 23 million people. It definitely does not belong to the People’s Republic of China.””.

Needless to say, this type of talk coming out of Taiwan angers China, and the Chinese response is always something along the lines of remaining “vigilant to any secessionist moves.”.

On the same day as the BBC story, the China Daily had a story mentioning that, “ “Chinese President Hu Jintao said in a New Year message on Monday that the Chinese mainland will actively promote exchanges and cooperation across the Taiwan Strait, safeguard peace and stability, and push ahead with peaceful reunification.

He called on Chinese people around the world to join hands to oppose “Taiwan independence” and work for the ultimate reunification of the Chinese nation.”

If you read between the lines, you’ve got Taiwan saying that they intend on declaring formal independence soon, and China saying they’ll squash (by force) any attempt to do so.

Making things even more interesting is Kyodo News’ January 4th report entitled “Japan, U.S. mull plan for Taiwan crisis”, in which it was said that the US and Japan would both be involved in a conflict between Taiwan and China.

In my opinion – Let’s face it, Taiwan is its own country. China may be willing to battle it out with Taiwan (and win), but it will not risk open war against Taiwan, Japan and the US. It would be sure to lose.

Taiwan, now is the time to make your move.








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